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RIKEN Center for Interdisciplinary Theoretical and Mathematical Sciences Prediction Science Research Team

Team Director: Takemasa Miyoshi (Ph.D.)

Research Summary

Takemasa  Miyoshi(Ph.D.)

Integrating the Simulation Science (3rd science) and Data Science (4th science), our long-term goal is to establish the new “Science of Prediction” as the 5th scientific paradigm. Prediction and control have long been studied, but it is still a challenge to apply the traditional methods to large-scale, complex problems. Here we aim to establish the science for prediction and control for large and complex real-world problems. Human society is facing difficult problems such as environmental change, natural resources, population, medicine and health, at the individual level to the global scale. The “Prediction Science” will be a hub connecting a wide range of human knowledge, providing an objective, scientific approach based on prediction to the sustainable development of human society.

Selected Publications

  • 1. Sun, Q., Miyoshi, T., Richard, S.:
    "Analysis of COVID-19 in Japan with extended SEIR model and ensemble Kalman filter."
    Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 419 (2023)
  • 2. Miyoshi, T., and Sun, Q.:
    "Control Simulation Experiment with the Lorenz's Butterfly Attractor, Nonlin."
    Processes Geophys., 29, 133-139 (2022)
  • 3. Honda, T., Amemiya, A., Otsuka, S., G.-Y. Lien, Taylor, J., Maejima, Y., Nishizawa, S., Yamaura, T., Sueki, K., Tomita, H., Satoh, S., Ishikawa, Y., and Miyoshi, T.:
    "Development of the Real-Time 30-s-Update Big Data Assimilation System for Convective Rainfall Prediction with a Phased Array Weather Radar Description and Preliminary Evaluation"
    J. Adv. Modeling Earth Systems, 14(6), e2021MS002823 (2022)
  • 4. Kotsuki, S., Sato, Y., Miyoshi, T.:
    "Data assimilation for climate research: Model parameter estimation of large‐scale condensation scheme"
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD031304 (2020).
  • 5. Kotsuki, S., Kurosawa, K., Otsuka, S., Terasaki, K., and Miyoshi. T.:
    "Global Precipitation Forecasts by Merging Extrapolation-Based Nowcast and Numerical Weather Prediction with Locally Optimized Weights"
    Wea. Forecasting, 34, 701–714 (2019)
  • 6. Kotsuki, S., Kurosawa, K., and Miyoshi T.:
    "On the Properties of Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observations"
    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145, 1897-1914 (2019).
  • 7. Kondo, K., and Miyoshi, T.:
    "Non-Gaussian statistics in global atmospheric dynamics: a study with a 10  240-member ensemble Kalman filter using an intermediate atmospheric general circulation model"
    Nolin. Processes Geophs., 26, 211-225 (2019).
  • 8. Otsuka, S., Kotsuki, S., Ohhigashi, M., Miyoshi T.:
    "GSMaP RIKEN Nowcast: Global Precipitation Nowcasting with Data Assimilation"
    Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, 2019, Volume 97, Issue 6, Pages 1099-1117 (2019).

Events

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Contact Information

Lab Members

Principal investigator

Takemasa Miyoshi
Team Director

Core members

Shigenori Otsuka
Senior Research Scientist
Arata Amemiya
Research Scientist
James David Taylor
Research Scientist
Michael Robert Goodliff
Research Scientist
Shun Ohishi
Research Scientist
Tristan Erwan Marie Hascoet
Research Scientist
Yuta Tarumi
Postdoctoral Researcher
Shungo Tonoyama
Research Associate
Tatsuro Iwanaka
Research Associate
Takahisa Ishimizu
Technical Staff I
Takashi Sakajo
Senior Visiting Scientist
Pierre Francois Yves Tandeo
Visiting Scientist
Juan Ruiz
Visiting Scientist
Luciano Vidal
Visiting Scientist

7-1-26,Minatojima-minami-machi,
Chuo-ku,Kobe,Hyogo
650-0047,Japan
Email: da-team-desk@ml.riken.jp

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